Senin, 05 Oktober 2020

Delta Strengthening Over The Northwestern Caribbean Sea - KSAT San Antonio

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Location 135 miles S of Negril Jamaica
Wind 45 mph
Heading W at 7 mph
Pressure 29.59
Coordinates 78.6W, 16.4N

Discussion

At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Delta was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 78.6 West. Delta is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a turn toward the west-northwest is forecast later today. A faster northwestward motion is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Delta is expected to move away from Jamaica later today, move near or over the Cayman Islands early Tuesday, and approach western Cuba Tuesday afternoon or evening. Delta is forecast to move into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night, and be over the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next few days, and Delta is expected to become a hurricane on Tuesday before it nears western Cuba.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

Tropics Satellite at 9:53 Monday Morning, October 05th
Tropics Satellite at 9:53 Monday Morning, October 05th

Watches and Warnings

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of Cuba has issued a Hurricane Warning for the Cuban province of Pinar del Rio. A Tropical Storm Warning was also been issued for the Isle of Youth.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for, * Cuba province of Pinar del Rio

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for, * Cuban province of Artemisa * Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for, * Cayman Islands including Little Cayman and Cayman Brac * Isle of Youth

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for, * Cuba province of La Habana

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.

Tropics Models at 8:10 Monday Morning, October 05th
Tropics Models at 8:10 Monday Morning, October 05th

Land Hazards

Key messages for Delta can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1, WMO header WTNT41 KNHC, and on the web at https://ift.tt/30xfG3U.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the south coast of western Cuba near and to right of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Cayman Islands beginning late today or tonight. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in western Cuba by late Tuesday afternoon, with tropical storm conditions expected by Tuesday morning. Hurricane conditions are possible on the Isle of Youth beginning Tuesday afternoon with tropical storm conditions expected by early Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the Tropical Storm Watch area in Cuba on Tuesday.

RAINFALL: Through midweek, Delta is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 8 inches across Jamaica, the Cayman Islands and western Cuba. This rainfall could lead to significant flash floods and mudslides.

The Link Lonk


October 05, 2020 at 04:03AM
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Delta Strengthening Over The Northwestern Caribbean Sea - KSAT San Antonio

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